Mladost Lučani vs Čukarički Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Mladost Lučani vs Čukarički
Model pick: Čukarički (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.98 – 1.27
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mladost Lučani | Čukarički |
|---|
| League position | #10 (2 pts) | #3 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.4 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Mladost Lučani shown at home, Čukarički shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mladost Lučani — last 5
WWWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Čukarički — last 5
WDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mladost Lučani (home) | Čukarički (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 52% |
| Top scorer | Petar Bojic (4) | Marko Docic (2) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.98 vs 1.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Mladost Lučani or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Čukarički or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Mladost Lučani clean sheet | 28% |
| Čukarički clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Čukarički is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Čukarički edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Mladost Lučani vs Čukarički — FAQ
Who will win Mladost Lučani vs Čukarički?
Our statistical model makes Čukarički the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Mladost Lučani 29%, draw 29%, Čukarički 42%.
Will both teams score in Mladost Lučani vs Čukarički?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Mladost Lučani vs Čukarički?
Expected goals are 0.98 for Mladost Lučani and 1.27 for Čukarički — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mladost Lučani vs Čukarički?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for Mladost Lučani or draw is 57%.