Mlawa vs ŁKS Łódź II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Mlawa vs ŁKS Łódź II
Model pick: Mlawa (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.89 – 1.32
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mlawa | ŁKS Łódź II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.8 | 1.0 / 2.4 |
*Mlawa shown at home, ŁKS Łódź II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mlawa — last 5
LLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 71% of home games go over 2.5.
ŁKS Łódź II — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mlawa (home) | ŁKS Łódź II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 56% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.89 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Mlawa or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — ŁKS Łódź II or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Mlawa clean sheet | 27% |
| ŁKS Łódź II clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mlawa is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Mlawa are backed at home, where they average 2.9 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mlawa vs ŁKS Łódź II — FAQ
Who will win Mlawa vs ŁKS Łódź II?
Our statistical model makes Mlawa the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Mlawa 48%, draw 24%, ŁKS Łódź II 28%.
Will both teams score in Mlawa vs ŁKS Łódź II?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Mlawa vs ŁKS Łódź II?
Expected goals are 1.89 for Mlawa and 1.32 for ŁKS Łódź II — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mlawa vs ŁKS Łódź II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Mlawa or draw is 73%.