Mohammedan vs Calcutta Police Prediction & Preview
Calcutta Premier Division (India) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 09:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CALCUTTA PREMIER DIVISION (INDIA)
Mohammedan vs Calcutta Police
Model pick: Draw (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.77 – 0.6
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 29%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mohammedan | Calcutta Police |
|---|
| League position | #14 (3 pts) | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.3 / 2.7 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.25 / 0.75 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
*Mohammedan shown at home, Calcutta Police shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mohammedan — last 5
WWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Calcutta Police — last 5
DDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mohammedan (home) | Calcutta Police (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-3 in 3 (0.3 / 2.7 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 25% |
| Top scorer | Adison Singh Thokchom (2) | – |
Calcutta Premier Division (India) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.65
Home wins: 33%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Calcutta Premier Division (India) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.77 vs 0.6):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (25%) |
| Double chance — Mohammedan or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Calcutta Police or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 61% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Mohammedan clean sheet | 55% |
| Calcutta Police clean sheet | 46% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (71% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mohammedan vs Calcutta Police — FAQ
Who will win Mohammedan vs Calcutta Police?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Mohammedan 36%, draw 38%, Calcutta Police 27%.
Will both teams score in Mohammedan vs Calcutta Police?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Mohammedan vs Calcutta Police?
Expected goals are 0.77 for Mohammedan and 0.6 for Calcutta Police — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mohammedan vs Calcutta Police?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (25%). Double chance for Mohammedan or draw is 74%.