Mohammedan vs Police AC Prediction & Preview
Calcutta Premier Division (India) · Aug 17, 2026 · kickoff 09:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CALCUTTA PREMIER DIVISION (INDIA)
Mohammedan vs Police AC
Model pick: Mohammedan (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.95 – 0.8
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mohammedan | Police AC |
|---|
| League position | #14 (3 pts) | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.3 / 2.7 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 0.2 |
*Mohammedan shown at home, Police AC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mohammedan — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
Police AC — last 5
WDWDW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mohammedan (home) | Police AC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-3 in 3 (0.3 / 2.7 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 67% |
| Top scorer | Adison Singh Thokchom (2) | – |
Calcutta Premier Division (India) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Calcutta Premier Division (India) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.95 vs 0.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Mohammedan or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Police AC or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 67% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 52% / 48% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Mohammedan clean sheet | 45% |
| Police AC clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mohammedan is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Mohammedan are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Mohammedan vs Police AC — FAQ
Who will win Mohammedan vs Police AC?
Our statistical model makes Mohammedan the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Mohammedan 37%, draw 33%, Police AC 30%.
Will both teams score in Mohammedan vs Police AC?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Mohammedan vs Police AC?
Expected goals are 0.95 for Mohammedan and 0.8 for Police AC — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mohammedan vs Police AC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (17%). Double chance for Mohammedan or draw is 71%.