Mohun Bagan U23 vs Bhawanipore Prediction & Preview
Calcutta Premier Division (India) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 09:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CALCUTTA PREMIER DIVISION (INDIA)
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Bhawanipore
Model pick: Draw (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.21 – 0.42
Total goals: 0.6
Over 2.5: 12%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mohun Bagan U23 | Bhawanipore |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
*Mohun Bagan U23 shown at home, Bhawanipore shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mohun Bagan U23 — last 5
WDWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Bhawanipore — last 5
DWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 75% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mohun Bagan U23 (home) | Bhawanipore (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Calcutta Premier Division (India) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.65
Home wins: 33%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Calcutta Premier Division (India) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.21 vs 0.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (53%) |
| Double chance — Mohun Bagan U23 or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Bhawanipore or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 42% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Mohun Bagan U23 clean sheet | 66% |
| Bhawanipore clean sheet | 81% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (88% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mohun Bagan U23 vs Bhawanipore — FAQ
Who will win Mohun Bagan U23 vs Bhawanipore?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Mohun Bagan U23 15%, draw 55%, Bhawanipore 30%.
Will both teams score in Mohun Bagan U23 vs Bhawanipore?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Mohun Bagan U23 vs Bhawanipore?
Expected goals are 0.21 for Mohun Bagan U23 and 0.42 for Bhawanipore — about 0.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mohun Bagan U23 vs Bhawanipore?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (53%). Double chance for Mohun Bagan U23 or draw is 71%.