Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876 Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876
Model pick: Bangor 1876 (57%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.7 – 1.68
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mold Alexandra | Bangor 1876 |
|---|
| League position | #6 (7 pts) | #3 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 0.7 | 2.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2.75 / 1.25 |
*Mold Alexandra shown at home, Bangor 1876 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mold Alexandra — last 5
DDLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Bangor 1876 — last 5
LWWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mold Alexandra (home) | Bangor 1876 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-1-0 in 3 (1.3 / 0.7 goals per game) | 2-0-0 in 2 (2.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 40%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.7 vs 1.68):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — Mold Alexandra or draw (1X) | 39% |
| Double chance — Bangor 1876 or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Mold Alexandra clean sheet | 19% |
| Bangor 1876 clean sheet | 50% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bangor 1876 is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Despite playing away, Bangor 1876 edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876 — FAQ
Who will win Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876?
Our statistical model makes Bangor 1876 the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Mold Alexandra 18%, draw 26%, Bangor 1876 57%.
Will both teams score in Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876?
Expected goals are 0.7 for Mold Alexandra and 1.68 for Bangor 1876 — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for Mold Alexandra or draw is 39%.