Montana vs Vihren Prediction & Preview
B PFG (Bulgaria) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
B PFG (BULGARIA)
Montana vs Vihren
Model pick: Vihren (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.68 – 2.32
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Montana | Vihren |
|---|
| League position | #7 (11 pts) | #1 (15 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.3 / 0.3 | 2.3 / 0.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
*Montana shown at home, Vihren shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Montana — last 5
LWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Vihren — last 5
DWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 17% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Montana (home) | Vihren (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-0-0 in 3 (2.3 / 0.3 goals per game) | 3-0-0 in 3 (2.3 / 0.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 17% |
| Top scorer | Ivan Kokonov (1) | – |
B PFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.56
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 46%
Use these B PFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.68 vs 2.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — Montana or draw (1X) | 48% |
| Double chance — Vihren or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Montana clean sheet | 10% |
| Vihren clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vihren is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Despite playing away, Vihren edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Montana vs Vihren — FAQ
Who will win Montana vs Vihren?
Our statistical model makes Vihren the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Montana 29%, draw 22%, Vihren 49%.
Will both teams score in Montana vs Vihren?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Montana vs Vihren?
Expected goals are 1.68 for Montana and 2.32 for Vihren — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Montana vs Vihren?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for Montana or draw is 48%.