Moss vs Odd Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 10, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Moss vs Odd
Model pick: Odd (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.52 – 1.29
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Moss | Odd |
|---|
| League position | #12 (17 pts) | #5 (28 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 29% | 43% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.6 / 2.6 |
*Moss shown at home, Odd shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Moss — last 5
WLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
Odd — last 5
LLLDW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Moss (home) | Odd (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-3 in 7 (1.4 / 1.9 goals per game) | 3-2-2 in 7 (1.6 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 50% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.52 vs 1.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Moss or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Odd or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Moss clean sheet | 28% |
| Odd clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Odd is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Odd edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Moss vs Odd — FAQ
Who will win Moss vs Odd?
Our statistical model makes Odd the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Moss 34%, draw 25%, Odd 41%.
Will both teams score in Moss vs Odd?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Moss vs Odd?
Expected goals are 1.52 for Moss and 1.29 for Odd — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Moss vs Odd?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Moss or draw is 68%.