Motala vs Karlstad II Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Motala vs Karlstad II
Model pick: Motala (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 0.46
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Motala | Karlstad II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 1.67 | 0.33 / 1.33 |
*Motala shown at home, Karlstad II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Motala — last 5
DLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Karlstad II — last 5
LLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Motala (home) | Karlstad II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.21
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 0.46):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (22%) |
| Double chance — Motala or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Karlstad II or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Motala clean sheet | 63% |
| Karlstad II clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Motala is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Motala are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Motala vs Karlstad II — FAQ
Who will win Motala vs Karlstad II?
Our statistical model makes Motala the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Motala 56%, draw 30%, Karlstad II 15%.
Will both teams score in Motala vs Karlstad II?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Motala vs Karlstad II?
Expected goals are 1.35 for Motala and 0.46 for Karlstad II — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Motala vs Karlstad II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (22%). Double chance for Motala or draw is 87%.