MSK Lucenec vs Komárno Prediction & Preview
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SLOVAK CUP (SLOVAKIA)
MSK Lucenec vs Komárno
Model pick: Komárno (71%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.11 – 1.54
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 26%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| MSK Lucenec | Komárno |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #11 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.0 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.25 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*MSK Lucenec shown at home, Komárno shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
MSK Lucenec — last 5
LLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Komárno — last 5
LDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | MSK Lucenec (home) | Komárno (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-2-1 in 3 (1.0 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.1
Home wins: 13%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 87%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Slovak Cup (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.11 vs 1.54):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (30%) |
| Double chance — MSK Lucenec or draw (1X) | 25% |
| Double chance — Komárno or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| MSK Lucenec clean sheet | 21% |
| Komárno clean sheet | 90% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Komárno is the model's most likely outcome at
71%. Despite playing away, Komárno edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ MSK Lucenec vs Komárno — FAQ
Who will win MSK Lucenec vs Komárno?
Our statistical model makes Komárno the most likely result at 71%. Full probabilities: MSK Lucenec 4%, draw 26%, Komárno 71%.
Will both teams score in MSK Lucenec vs Komárno?
The model gives a 26% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in MSK Lucenec vs Komárno?
Expected goals are 0.11 for MSK Lucenec and 1.54 for Komárno — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in MSK Lucenec vs Komárno?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (30%). Double chance for MSK Lucenec or draw is 25%.