MTK Budapest II vs Dunaharaszti MTK Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
MTK Budapest II vs Dunaharaszti MTK
Model pick: MTK Budapest II (69%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.01 – 1.2
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| MTK Budapest II | Dunaharaszti MTK |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.4 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
*MTK Budapest II shown at home, Dunaharaszti MTK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
MTK Budapest II — last 5
WWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Dunaharaszti MTK — last 5
WDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | MTK Budapest II (home) | Dunaharaszti MTK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 60% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.51
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.01 vs 1.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — MTK Budapest II or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Dunaharaszti MTK or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| MTK Budapest II clean sheet | 30% |
| Dunaharaszti MTK clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
MTK Budapest II is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. MTK Budapest II are backed at home, where they average 6.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ MTK Budapest II vs Dunaharaszti MTK — FAQ
Who will win MTK Budapest II vs Dunaharaszti MTK?
Our statistical model makes MTK Budapest II the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: MTK Budapest II 69%, draw 17%, Dunaharaszti MTK 15%.
Will both teams score in MTK Budapest II vs Dunaharaszti MTK?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in MTK Budapest II vs Dunaharaszti MTK?
Expected goals are 3.01 for MTK Budapest II and 1.2 for Dunaharaszti MTK — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in MTK Budapest II vs Dunaharaszti MTK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (8%). Double chance for MTK Budapest II or draw is 88%.