Mura vs Radomlje Prediction & Preview
1-SNL (Slovenia) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-SNL (SLOVENIA)
Mura vs Radomlje
Model pick: Mura (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.51 – 1.18
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Mura | Radomlje |
|---|
| League position | #6 (4 pts) | #10 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.4 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*Mura shown at home, Radomlje shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Mura — last 5
DLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Radomlje — last 5
LLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Mura (home) | Radomlje (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 49% |
1-SNL (Slovenia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 52%
Use these 1-SNL (Slovenia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.51 vs 1.18):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Mura or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Radomlje or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Mura clean sheet | 31% |
| Radomlje clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mura is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Mura are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Mura vs Radomlje — FAQ
Who will win Mura vs Radomlje?
Our statistical model makes Mura the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Mura 43%, draw 27%, Radomlje 30%.
Will both teams score in Mura vs Radomlje?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Mura vs Radomlje?
Expected goals are 1.51 for Mura and 1.18 for Radomlje — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Mura vs Radomlje?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Mura or draw is 70%.