Murom vs Kosmos Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Murom vs Kosmos
Model pick: Murom (81%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.63 – 1.5
Total goals: 6.1
Over 2.5: 82%
Both teams score: 66%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Murom | Kosmos |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 0.5 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Murom shown at home, Kosmos shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Murom — last 5
WW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Kosmos — last 5
WW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Murom (home) | Kosmos (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.97
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 58%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.63 vs 1.5):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Murom or draw (1X) | 93% |
| Double chance — Kosmos or draw (X2) | 14% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Murom clean sheet | 22% |
| Kosmos clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Murom is the model's most likely outcome at
81%. Murom are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.1, this shapes as an open game (82% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Murom vs Kosmos — FAQ
Who will win Murom vs Kosmos?
Our statistical model makes Murom the most likely result at 81%. Full probabilities: Murom 81%, draw 10%, Kosmos 9%.
Will both teams score in Murom vs Kosmos?
The model gives a 66% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Murom vs Kosmos?
Expected goals are 4.63 for Murom and 1.5 for Kosmos — about 6.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Murom vs Kosmos?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-1 (7%). Double chance for Murom or draw is 93%.