Musselburgh vs Bo'ness United Prediction & Preview
Lowland League (Scotland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LOWLAND LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Musselburgh vs Bo'ness United
Model pick: Bo'ness United (64%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.86 – 2.24
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Musselburgh | Bo'ness United |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 2.4 | 1.5 / 1.75 |
*Musselburgh shown at home, Bo'ness United shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Musselburgh — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Bo'ness United — last 5
LLWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Musselburgh (home) | Bo'ness United (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
Lowland League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.46
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Lowland League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.86 vs 2.24):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (11%) |
| Double chance — Musselburgh or draw (1X) | 31% |
| Double chance — Bo'ness United or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Musselburgh clean sheet | 11% |
| Bo'ness United clean sheet | 42% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bo'ness United is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. Despite playing away, Bo'ness United edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Musselburgh vs Bo'ness United — FAQ
Who will win Musselburgh vs Bo'ness United?
Our statistical model makes Bo'ness United the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Musselburgh 16%, draw 21%, Bo'ness United 64%.
Will both teams score in Musselburgh vs Bo'ness United?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Musselburgh vs Bo'ness United?
Expected goals are 0.86 for Musselburgh and 2.24 for Bo'ness United — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Musselburgh vs Bo'ness United?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (11%). Double chance for Musselburgh or draw is 31%.