Muttenz vs Delemont Prediction & Preview
1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1 LIGA CLASSIC (SWITZERLAND)
Muttenz vs Delemont
Model pick: Muttenz (85%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.22 – 0.45
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Muttenz | Delemont |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.25 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Muttenz shown at home, Delemont shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Muttenz — last 5
WLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Delemont — last 5
WDWLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Muttenz (home) | Delemont (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 72%
Use these 1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.22 vs 0.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Muttenz or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Delemont or draw (X2) | 11% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Muttenz clean sheet | 64% |
| Delemont clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Muttenz is the model's most likely outcome at
85%. Muttenz are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Muttenz vs Delemont — FAQ
Who will win Muttenz vs Delemont?
Our statistical model makes Muttenz the most likely result at 85%. Full probabilities: Muttenz 85%, draw 11%, Delemont 4%.
Will both teams score in Muttenz vs Delemont?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Muttenz vs Delemont?
Expected goals are 3.22 for Muttenz and 0.45 for Delemont — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Muttenz vs Delemont?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (14%). Double chance for Muttenz or draw is 97%.