MVV vs Volendam Prediction & Preview
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EERSTE DIVISIE (NETHERLANDS)
MVV vs Volendam
Model pick: Volendam (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 2.06
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| MVV | Volendam |
|---|
| League position | #8 (0 pts) | #16 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.8 | 2.4 / 1.6 |
*MVV shown at home, Volendam shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
MVV — last 5
LLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Volendam — last 5
DWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | MVV (home) | Volendam (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 62% |
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.14
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 2.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — MVV or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Volendam or draw (X2) | 76% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| MVV clean sheet | 13% |
| Volendam clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Volendam is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, Volendam edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ MVV vs Volendam — FAQ
Who will win MVV vs Volendam?
Our statistical model makes Volendam the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: MVV 25%, draw 23%, Volendam 52%.
Will both teams score in MVV vs Volendam?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in MVV vs Volendam?
Expected goals are 1.3 for MVV and 2.06 for Volendam — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in MVV vs Volendam?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (10%). Double chance for MVV or draw is 45%.