MyPa vs PuiU Prediction & Preview
Kakkonen (Finland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
KAKKONEN (FINLAND)
MyPa vs PuiU
Model pick: PuiU (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.93 – 2.91
Total goals: 4.8
Over 2.5: 74%
Both teams score: 68%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| MyPa | PuiU |
|---|
| League position | #9 (12 pts) | #8 (16 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.6 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 2.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 12% | 12% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 3.0 | 2.2 / 2.2 |
*MyPa shown at home, PuiU shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
MyPa — last 5
LLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
PuiU — last 5
WLDDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | MyPa (home) | PuiU (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-2-5 in 8 (0.6 / 1.8 goals per game) | 1-2-5 in 8 (1.1 / 2.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Kakkonen (Finland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.03
Home wins: 55%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Kakkonen (Finland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.93 vs 2.91):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — MyPa or draw (1X) | 42% |
| Double chance — PuiU or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| MyPa clean sheet | 5% |
| PuiU clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
PuiU is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Despite playing away, PuiU edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.8, this shapes as an open game (74% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ MyPa vs PuiU — FAQ
Who will win MyPa vs PuiU?
Our statistical model makes PuiU the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: MyPa 26%, draw 19%, PuiU 54%.
Will both teams score in MyPa vs PuiU?
The model gives a 68% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in MyPa vs PuiU?
Expected goals are 1.93 for MyPa and 2.91 for PuiU — about 4.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in MyPa vs PuiU?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (6%). Double chance for MyPa or draw is 42%.