Nõmme United vs Tammeka Prediction & Preview
Meistriliiga (Estonia) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
MEISTRILIIGA (ESTONIA)
Nõmme United vs Tammeka
Model pick: Tammeka (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.24 – 1.65
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nõmme United | Tammeka |
|---|
| League position | #7 (25 pts) | #6 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.3 / 2.2 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 36% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.8 / 1.6 | 4.8 / 2.2 |
*Nõmme United shown at home, Tammeka shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nõmme United — last 5
LWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 10% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Tammeka — last 5
WLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nõmme United (home) | Tammeka (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-0-7 in 11 (2.3 / 2.2 goals per game) | 3-1-5 in 9 (1.1 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 10% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 62% |
Meistriliiga (Estonia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 51%
Use these Meistriliiga (Estonia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.24 vs 1.65):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Nõmme United or draw (1X) | 53% |
| Double chance — Tammeka or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Nõmme United clean sheet | 19% |
| Tammeka clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tammeka is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Despite playing away, Tammeka edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Nõmme United vs Tammeka — FAQ
Who will win Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
Our statistical model makes Tammeka the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Nõmme United 30%, draw 26%, Tammeka 45%.
Will both teams score in Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
Expected goals are 1.24 for Nõmme United and 1.65 for Tammeka — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Nõmme United or draw is 53%.