NAC Breda vs VVV Prediction & Preview
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EERSTE DIVISIE (NETHERLANDS)
NAC Breda vs VVV
Model pick: NAC Breda (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.93 – 1.04
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| NAC Breda | VVV |
|---|
| League position | #17 (29 pts) | #2 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 2.8 |
*NAC Breda shown at home, VVV shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
NAC Breda — last 5
LLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
VVV — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | NAC Breda (home) | VVV (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 62% |
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.14
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.93 vs 1.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — NAC Breda or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — VVV or draw (X2) | 42% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| NAC Breda clean sheet | 35% |
| VVV clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
NAC Breda is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. NAC Breda are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ NAC Breda vs VVV — FAQ
Who will win NAC Breda vs VVV?
Our statistical model makes NAC Breda the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: NAC Breda 54%, draw 24%, VVV 22%.
Will both teams score in NAC Breda vs VVV?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in NAC Breda vs VVV?
Expected goals are 1.93 for NAC Breda and 1.04 for VVV — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in NAC Breda vs VVV?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for NAC Breda or draw is 80%.