Nacka FC vs Orebro Syr. Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Nacka FC vs Orebro Syr.
Model pick: Draw (61%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.14 – 0.34
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 8%
Both teams score: 19%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nacka FC | Orebro Syr. |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.67 / 2.33 |
*Nacka FC shown at home, Orebro Syr. shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nacka FC — last 5
DD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Orebro Syr. — last 5
LLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nacka FC (home) | Orebro Syr. (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.14 vs 0.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (62%) |
| Double chance — Nacka FC or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Orebro Syr. or draw (X2) | 90% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 35% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Nacka FC clean sheet | 71% |
| Orebro Syr. clean sheet | 87% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (92% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nacka FC vs Orebro Syr. — FAQ
Who will win Nacka FC vs Orebro Syr.?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Nacka FC 12%, draw 61%, Orebro Syr. 28%.
Will both teams score in Nacka FC vs Orebro Syr.?
The model gives a 19% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Nacka FC vs Orebro Syr.?
Expected goals are 0.14 for Nacka FC and 0.34 for Orebro Syr. — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nacka FC vs Orebro Syr.?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (62%). Double chance for Nacka FC or draw is 74%.