Nancy vs Dunkerque Prediction & Preview
Ligue 2 (France) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 2 (FRANCE)
Nancy vs Dunkerque
Model pick: Dunkerque (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.16 – 1.43
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nancy | Dunkerque |
|---|
| League position | #8 (4 pts) | #7 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.6 | 2.0 / 1.4 |
*Nancy shown at home, Dunkerque shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nancy — last 5
DDDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Dunkerque — last 5
WDWDL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nancy (home) | Dunkerque (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (3.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 48% |
| Top scorer | Zakaria Fdaouch (5) | Thomas Robinet (15) |
Ligue 2 (France) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.43
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Ligue 2 (France) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.16 vs 1.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Nancy or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Dunkerque or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Nancy clean sheet | 24% |
| Dunkerque clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dunkerque is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Dunkerque edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Nancy vs Dunkerque — FAQ
Who will win Nancy vs Dunkerque?
Our statistical model makes Dunkerque the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Nancy 35%, draw 27%, Dunkerque 38%.
Will both teams score in Nancy vs Dunkerque?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Nancy vs Dunkerque?
Expected goals are 1.16 for Nancy and 1.43 for Dunkerque — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nancy vs Dunkerque?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Nancy or draw is 57%.