Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangdong GZ-Power Prediction & Preview
League One (China) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LEAGUE ONE (CHINA)
Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangdong GZ-Power
Model pick: Guangdong GZ-Power (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.86 – 1.29
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nantong Zhiyun | Guangdong GZ-Power |
|---|
| League position | #5 (35 pts) | #1 (49 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.7 | 2.2 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 89% | 70% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.2 | 2.8 / 0.4 |
*Nantong Zhiyun shown at home, Guangdong GZ-Power shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nantong Zhiyun — last 5
WDDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 9% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Guangdong GZ-Power — last 5
DWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 80% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nantong Zhiyun (home) | Guangdong GZ-Power (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 8-0-1 in 9 (2.0 / 0.7 goals per game) | 7-2-1 in 10 (2.2 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 9% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 80% |
League One (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these League One (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.86 vs 1.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (15%) |
| Double chance — Nantong Zhiyun or draw (1X) | 53% |
| Double chance — Guangdong GZ-Power or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Nantong Zhiyun clean sheet | 28% |
| Guangdong GZ-Power clean sheet | 42% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Guangdong GZ-Power is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, Guangdong GZ-Power edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangdong GZ-Power — FAQ
Who will win Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangdong GZ-Power?
Our statistical model makes Guangdong GZ-Power the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Nantong Zhiyun 26%, draw 30%, Guangdong GZ-Power 44%.
Will both teams score in Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangdong GZ-Power?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangdong GZ-Power?
Expected goals are 0.86 for Nantong Zhiyun and 1.29 for Guangdong GZ-Power — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangdong GZ-Power?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (15%). Double chance for Nantong Zhiyun or draw is 53%.