Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Lubaczow Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Lubaczow
Model pick: Naprzod Jedrzejow (99%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 6.26 – 0.07
Total goals: 6.3
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 23%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Naprzod Jedrzejow | Lubaczow |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
*Naprzod Jedrzejow shown at home, Lubaczow shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Naprzod Jedrzejow — last 5
DWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Lubaczow — last 5
DLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Naprzod Jedrzejow (home) | Lubaczow (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (6.26 vs 0.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 6-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Naprzod Jedrzejow or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Lubaczow or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Naprzod Jedrzejow clean sheet | 93% |
| Lubaczow clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Naprzod Jedrzejow is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. Naprzod Jedrzejow are backed at home, where they average 5.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.3, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Lubaczow — FAQ
Who will win Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Lubaczow?
Our statistical model makes Naprzod Jedrzejow the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: Naprzod Jedrzejow 99%, draw 1%, Lubaczow 0%.
Will both teams score in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Lubaczow?
The model gives a 23% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Lubaczow?
Expected goals are 6.26 for Naprzod Jedrzejow and 0.07 for Lubaczow — about 6.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Lubaczow?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 6-0 (18%). Double chance for Naprzod Jedrzejow or draw is 100%.