Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta
Model pick: Nart Cherkessk (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.56 – 0.92
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nart Cherkessk | Rubin Yalta |
|---|
| League position | #7 (27 pts) | #5 (28 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*Nart Cherkessk shown at home, Rubin Yalta shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nart Cherkessk — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Rubin Yalta — last 5
DDWDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nart Cherkessk (home) | Rubin Yalta (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-2-2 in 8 (1.2 / 0.4 goals per game) | 2-4-2 in 8 (0.9 / 0.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 33% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.56 vs 0.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Nart Cherkessk or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Rubin Yalta or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Nart Cherkessk clean sheet | 40% |
| Rubin Yalta clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nart Cherkessk is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Nart Cherkessk are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta — FAQ
Who will win Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta?
Our statistical model makes Nart Cherkessk the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Nart Cherkessk 49%, draw 27%, Rubin Yalta 24%.
Will both teams score in Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta?
Expected goals are 1.56 for Nart Cherkessk and 0.92 for Rubin Yalta — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Nart Cherkessk or draw is 78%.