Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar Khorramabad Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Sep 07, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar Khorramabad
Model pick: Kheybar Khorramabad (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.87 – 1.0
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nassaji Mazandaran | Kheybar Khorramabad |
|---|
| League position | #18 (1 pts) | #12 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
*Nassaji Mazandaran shown at home, Kheybar Khorramabad shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nassaji Mazandaran — last 5
LLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 27% of home games go over 2.5.
Kheybar Khorramabad — last 5
LDDLD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 29% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nassaji Mazandaran (home) | Kheybar Khorramabad (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-2-0 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 29% |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.87 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Nassaji Mazandaran or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Kheybar Khorramabad or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Nassaji Mazandaran clean sheet | 37% |
| Kheybar Khorramabad clean sheet | 42% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kheybar Khorramabad is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, Kheybar Khorramabad edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar Khorramabad — FAQ
Who will win Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
Our statistical model makes Kheybar Khorramabad the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Nassaji Mazandaran 31%, draw 32%, Kheybar Khorramabad 37%.
Will both teams score in Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
Expected goals are 0.87 for Nassaji Mazandaran and 1.0 for Kheybar Khorramabad — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (15%). Double chance for Nassaji Mazandaran or draw is 63%.