NEC vs Bodø / Glimt Prediction & Preview
UEFA Champions League (Europe) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE (EUROPE)
NEC vs Bodø / Glimt
Model pick: NEC (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.9 – 0.99
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| NEC | Bodø / Glimt |
|---|
| League position | #11 (0 pts) | #23 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 3.0 / 1.2 |
*NEC shown at home, Bodø / Glimt shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
NEC — last 5
LLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
Bodø / Glimt — last 5
WWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | NEC (home) | Bodø / Glimt (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-2-1 in 4 (1.8 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 62% |
| Top scorer | – | Jens Hauge (6) |
UEFA Champions League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 54%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these UEFA Champions League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.9 vs 0.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — NEC or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Bodø / Glimt or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| NEC clean sheet | 37% |
| Bodø / Glimt clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
NEC is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. NEC are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ NEC vs Bodø / Glimt — FAQ
Who will win NEC vs Bodø / Glimt?
Our statistical model makes NEC the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: NEC 43%, draw 25%, Bodø / Glimt 32%.
Will both teams score in NEC vs Bodø / Glimt?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in NEC vs Bodø / Glimt?
Expected goals are 1.9 for NEC and 0.99 for Bodø / Glimt — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in NEC vs Bodø / Glimt?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (11%). Double chance for NEC or draw is 81%.