NEC vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction & Preview
UEFA Champions League (Europe) · Aug 11, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE (EUROPE)
NEC vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Model pick: Draw (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.08 – 0.05
Total goals: 0.1
Over 2.5: 1%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| NEC | Olympiakos Piraeus |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #18 (11 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.0 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*NEC shown at home, Olympiakos Piraeus shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
NEC — last 5
WWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Olympiakos Piraeus — last 5
WLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 45% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | NEC (home) | Olympiakos Piraeus (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 2-0-2 in 4 (1.0 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 45% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 45% |
UEFA Champions League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.92
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 53%
Use these UEFA Champions League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.08 vs 0.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (88%) |
| Double chance — NEC or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — Olympiakos Piraeus or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 12% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| NEC clean sheet | 95% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet | 92% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (99% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ NEC vs Olympiakos Piraeus — FAQ
Who will win NEC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: NEC 25%, draw 48%, Olympiakos Piraeus 27%.
Will both teams score in NEC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in NEC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Expected goals are 0.08 for NEC and 0.05 for Olympiakos Piraeus — about 0.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in NEC vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (88%). Double chance for NEC or draw is 95%.