NEC vs Telstar Prediction & Preview
Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EREDIVISIE (NETHERLANDS)
NEC vs Telstar
Model pick: NEC (53%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.05 – 1.23
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| NEC | Telstar |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #3 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
*NEC shown at home, Telstar shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
NEC — last 5
LWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Telstar — last 5
WLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | NEC (home) | Telstar (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 52% |
| Top scorer | Basar Onal (1) | Jeff Hardeveld (1) |
Eredivisie (Netherlands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.09
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Eredivisie (Netherlands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.05 vs 1.23):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — NEC or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Telstar or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| NEC clean sheet | 29% |
| Telstar clean sheet | 13% |
🎯 Our Verdict
NEC is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. NEC are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ NEC vs Telstar — FAQ
Who will win NEC vs Telstar?
Our statistical model makes NEC the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: NEC 53%, draw 23%, Telstar 24%.
Will both teams score in NEC vs Telstar?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in NEC vs Telstar?
Expected goals are 2.05 for NEC and 1.23 for Telstar — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in NEC vs Telstar?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for NEC or draw is 77%.