Neckarsulm vs Balingen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Neckarsulm vs Balingen
Model pick: Neckarsulm (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.97 – 1.58
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Neckarsulm | Balingen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.67 | 0.75 / 3.75 |
*Neckarsulm shown at home, Balingen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Neckarsulm — last 5
LLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Balingen — last 5
LLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Neckarsulm (home) | Balingen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.97 vs 1.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Neckarsulm or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Balingen or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 47% / 53% |
| Neckarsulm clean sheet | 21% |
| Balingen clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Neckarsulm is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Neckarsulm are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Neckarsulm vs Balingen — FAQ
Who will win Neckarsulm vs Balingen?
Our statistical model makes Neckarsulm the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Neckarsulm 45%, draw 23%, Balingen 32%.
Will both teams score in Neckarsulm vs Balingen?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Neckarsulm vs Balingen?
Expected goals are 1.97 for Neckarsulm and 1.58 for Balingen — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Neckarsulm vs Balingen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (9%). Double chance for Neckarsulm or draw is 69%.