Neudrossenfeld vs Aschaffenburg Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Neudrossenfeld vs Aschaffenburg
Model pick: Aschaffenburg (78%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.07 – 1.86
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 23%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Neudrossenfeld | Aschaffenburg |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.67 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 1.67 |
*Neudrossenfeld shown at home, Aschaffenburg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Neudrossenfeld — last 5
WLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Aschaffenburg — last 5
DDW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Neudrossenfeld (home) | Aschaffenburg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.05
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.07 vs 1.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (27%) |
| Double chance — Neudrossenfeld or draw (1X) | 18% |
| Double chance — Aschaffenburg or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Neudrossenfeld clean sheet | 16% |
| Aschaffenburg clean sheet | 93% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Aschaffenburg is the model's most likely outcome at
78%. Despite playing away, Aschaffenburg edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Neudrossenfeld vs Aschaffenburg — FAQ
Who will win Neudrossenfeld vs Aschaffenburg?
Our statistical model makes Aschaffenburg the most likely result at 78%. Full probabilities: Neudrossenfeld 2%, draw 20%, Aschaffenburg 78%.
Will both teams score in Neudrossenfeld vs Aschaffenburg?
The model gives a 23% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Neudrossenfeld vs Aschaffenburg?
Expected goals are 0.07 for Neudrossenfeld and 1.86 for Aschaffenburg — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Neudrossenfeld vs Aschaffenburg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (27%). Double chance for Neudrossenfeld or draw is 18%.