Neumarkt vs Regensburg II Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 09:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Neumarkt vs Regensburg II
Model pick: Regensburg II (75%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.88 – 3.08
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Neumarkt | Regensburg II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.8 | 2.4 / 2.0 |
*Neumarkt shown at home, Regensburg II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Neumarkt — last 5
DDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Regensburg II — last 5
WLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Neumarkt (home) | Regensburg II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.88 vs 3.08):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (9%) |
| Double chance — Neumarkt or draw (1X) | 19% |
| Double chance — Regensburg II or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Neumarkt clean sheet | 5% |
| Regensburg II clean sheet | 41% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Regensburg II is the model's most likely outcome at
75%. Despite playing away, Regensburg II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Neumarkt vs Regensburg II — FAQ
Who will win Neumarkt vs Regensburg II?
Our statistical model makes Regensburg II the most likely result at 75%. Full probabilities: Neumarkt 10%, draw 15%, Regensburg II 75%.
Will both teams score in Neumarkt vs Regensburg II?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Neumarkt vs Regensburg II?
Expected goals are 0.88 for Neumarkt and 3.08 for Regensburg II — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Neumarkt vs Regensburg II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (9%). Double chance for Neumarkt or draw is 19%.