Neumarkt vs Stadeln Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Neumarkt vs Stadeln
Model pick: Stadeln (82%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.82 – 3.58
Total goals: 4.4
Over 2.5: 70%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Neumarkt | Stadeln |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Neumarkt shown at home, Stadeln shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Neumarkt — last 5
DLLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Stadeln — last 5
DWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Neumarkt (home) | Stadeln (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 33% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.82 vs 3.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (9%) |
| Double chance — Neumarkt or draw (1X) | 13% |
| Double chance — Stadeln or draw (X2) | 95% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Neumarkt clean sheet | 3% |
| Stadeln clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stadeln is the model's most likely outcome at
82%. Despite playing away, Stadeln edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.4, this shapes as an open game (70% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Neumarkt vs Stadeln — FAQ
Who will win Neumarkt vs Stadeln?
Our statistical model makes Stadeln the most likely result at 82%. Full probabilities: Neumarkt 7%, draw 11%, Stadeln 82%.
Will both teams score in Neumarkt vs Stadeln?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Neumarkt vs Stadeln?
Expected goals are 0.82 for Neumarkt and 3.58 for Stadeln — about 4.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Neumarkt vs Stadeln?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (9%). Double chance for Neumarkt or draw is 13%.