Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Argentina) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 22:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (ARGENTINA)
Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra
Model pick: Newell's Old Boys (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.85 – 0.83
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 35%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Newell's Old Boys | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|
| League position | #14 (15 pts) | #15 (11 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.8 / 1.2 | 0.1 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 12% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
*Newell's Old Boys shown at home, Deportivo Riestra shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Newell's Old Boys — last 5
LWLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 47% of the time; 30% of home games go over 2.5.
Deportivo Riestra — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 37% of the time; 37% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Newell's Old Boys (home) | Deportivo Riestra (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-4-3 in 8 (0.8 / 1.2 goals per game) | 0-3-5 in 8 (0.1 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 47% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 37% |
| Top scorer | Ignacio Ramirez (4) | – |
Primera Division (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 44%
Use these Primera Division (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.85 vs 0.83):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Newell's Old Boys or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Deportivo Riestra or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Newell's Old Boys clean sheet | 44% |
| Deportivo Riestra clean sheet | 43% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Newell's Old Boys is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Newell's Old Boys are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (65% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra — FAQ
Who will win Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our statistical model makes Newell's Old Boys the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Newell's Old Boys 41%, draw 33%, Deportivo Riestra 26%.
Will both teams score in Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
Expected goals are 0.85 for Newell's Old Boys and 0.83 for Deportivo Riestra — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (19%). Double chance for Newell's Old Boys or draw is 68%.