Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions
Model pick: Newport City (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.08 – 0.48
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 33%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Newport City | Ynyshir Albions |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Newport City shown at home, Ynyshir Albions shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Newport City — last 5
LWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Ynyshir Albions — last 5
WDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Newport City (home) | Ynyshir Albions (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 40%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.08 vs 0.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (23%) |
| Double chance — Newport City or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — Ynyshir Albions or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 67% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| Newport City clean sheet | 62% |
| Ynyshir Albions clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Newport City is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Newport City are backed at home, where they average 0.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (67% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions — FAQ
Who will win Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our statistical model makes Newport City the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Newport City 48%, draw 34%, Ynyshir Albions 18%.
Will both teams score in Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?
Expected goals are 1.08 for Newport City and 0.48 for Ynyshir Albions — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (23%). Double chance for Newport City or draw is 84%.