Niendorfer TSV vs Suderelbe Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Niendorfer TSV vs Suderelbe
Model pick: Niendorfer TSV (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.67 – 1.52
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Niendorfer TSV | Suderelbe |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
*Niendorfer TSV shown at home, Suderelbe shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Niendorfer TSV — last 5
WWDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Suderelbe — last 5
LDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Niendorfer TSV (home) | Suderelbe (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.67 vs 1.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Niendorfer TSV or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Suderelbe or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Niendorfer TSV clean sheet | 22% |
| Suderelbe clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Niendorfer TSV is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Niendorfer TSV are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Niendorfer TSV vs Suderelbe — FAQ
Who will win Niendorfer TSV vs Suderelbe?
Our statistical model makes Niendorfer TSV the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Niendorfer TSV 40%, draw 25%, Suderelbe 35%.
Will both teams score in Niendorfer TSV vs Suderelbe?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Niendorfer TSV vs Suderelbe?
Expected goals are 1.67 for Niendorfer TSV and 1.52 for Suderelbe — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Niendorfer TSV vs Suderelbe?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Niendorfer TSV or draw is 65%.