Ningbo Professional vs Meizhou Hakka Prediction & Preview
League One (China) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LEAGUE ONE (CHINA)
Ningbo Professional vs Meizhou Hakka
Model pick: Ningbo Professional (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.86 – 0.77
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ningbo Professional | Meizhou Hakka |
|---|
| League position | #7 (25 pts) | #14 (17 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.8 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 2.2 |
*Ningbo Professional shown at home, Meizhou Hakka shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ningbo Professional — last 5
WLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 80% of home games go over 2.5.
Meizhou Hakka — last 5
LLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ningbo Professional (home) | Meizhou Hakka (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-1-5 in 10 (1.5 / 1.8 goals per game) | 3-1-6 in 10 (0.7 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 56% |
League One (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.0
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 23%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these League One (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.86 vs 0.77):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Ningbo Professional or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Meizhou Hakka or draw (X2) | 37% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Ningbo Professional clean sheet | 46% |
| Meizhou Hakka clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ningbo Professional is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Ningbo Professional are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ningbo Professional vs Meizhou Hakka — FAQ
Who will win Ningbo Professional vs Meizhou Hakka?
Our statistical model makes Ningbo Professional the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Ningbo Professional 59%, draw 24%, Meizhou Hakka 17%.
Will both teams score in Ningbo Professional vs Meizhou Hakka?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ningbo Professional vs Meizhou Hakka?
Expected goals are 1.86 for Ningbo Professional and 0.77 for Meizhou Hakka — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ningbo Professional vs Meizhou Hakka?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Ningbo Professional or draw is 85%.