Noah vs Sion Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) ยท Aug 06, 2026 ยท kickoff 16:00 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Noah vs Sion
Model pick: Sion (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.89 โ 1.94
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 54%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Noah | Sion |
| League position | #9 (0 pts) | #11 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 2.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.6 | 2.8 / 1.2 |
*Noah shown at home, Sion shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Noah โ last 5
DWWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Sion โ last 5
WWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Noah (home) | Sion (away) |
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 60% |
| Top scorer | โ | Rilind Nivokazi (13) |
Europa Conference League (Europe) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.01
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.89 vs 1.94):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (11%) |
| Double chance โ Noah or draw (1X) | 38% |
| Double chance โ Sion or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Noah clean sheet | 14% |
| Sion clean sheet | 41% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
Sion is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Sion edge the model โ their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Noah vs Sion โ FAQ
Who will win Noah vs Sion?
Our statistical model makes Sion the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Noah 30%, draw 27%, Sion 43%.
Will both teams score in Noah vs Sion?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Noah vs Sion?
Expected goals are 0.89 for Noah and 1.94 for Sion โ about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Noah vs Sion?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (11%). Double chance for Noah or draw is 38%.