Nordhorn vs Wilhelmshaven Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Nordhorn vs Wilhelmshaven
Model pick: Wilhelmshaven (74%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.08 – 1.63
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 35%
Both teams score: 23%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nordhorn | Wilhelmshaven |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.8 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*Nordhorn shown at home, Wilhelmshaven shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nordhorn — last 5
LWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Wilhelmshaven — last 5
LWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nordhorn (home) | Wilhelmshaven (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.08 vs 1.63):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (29%) |
| Double chance — Nordhorn or draw (1X) | 22% |
| Double chance — Wilhelmshaven or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Nordhorn clean sheet | 20% |
| Wilhelmshaven clean sheet | 92% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wilhelmshaven is the model's most likely outcome at
74%. Despite playing away, Wilhelmshaven edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (65% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nordhorn vs Wilhelmshaven — FAQ
Who will win Nordhorn vs Wilhelmshaven?
Our statistical model makes Wilhelmshaven the most likely result at 74%. Full probabilities: Nordhorn 3%, draw 24%, Wilhelmshaven 74%.
Will both teams score in Nordhorn vs Wilhelmshaven?
The model gives a 23% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Nordhorn vs Wilhelmshaven?
Expected goals are 0.08 for Nordhorn and 1.63 for Wilhelmshaven — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nordhorn vs Wilhelmshaven?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (29%). Double chance for Nordhorn or draw is 22%.