Nordic United vs Ljungskile Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Nordic United vs Ljungskile
Model pick: Nordic United (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.5 – 0.44
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nordic United | Ljungskile |
|---|
| League position | #7 (25 pts) | #9 (22 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.1 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 62% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.67 / 0.67 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*Nordic United shown at home, Ljungskile shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nordic United — last 5
LLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Ljungskile — last 5
LWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nordic United (home) | Ljungskile (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-2-1 in 8 (2.1 / 1.5 goals per game) | 2-3-3 in 8 (1.4 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 55% |
| Top scorer | Kalipha Jawla (2) | Filip Ambroz (1) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.5 vs 0.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (22%) |
| Double chance — Nordic United or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Ljungskile or draw (X2) | 36% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Nordic United clean sheet | 64% |
| Ljungskile clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nordic United is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Nordic United are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nordic United vs Ljungskile — FAQ
Who will win Nordic United vs Ljungskile?
Our statistical model makes Nordic United the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Nordic United 49%, draw 26%, Ljungskile 25%.
Will both teams score in Nordic United vs Ljungskile?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Nordic United vs Ljungskile?
Expected goals are 1.5 for Nordic United and 0.44 for Ljungskile — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nordic United vs Ljungskile?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (22%). Double chance for Nordic United or draw is 89%.