Nordlingen vs Ingolstadt II Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 16:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Nordlingen vs Ingolstadt II
Model pick: Ingolstadt II (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.55 – 1.6
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nordlingen | Ingolstadt II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 3.4 | 2.0 / 2.25 |
*Nordlingen shown at home, Ingolstadt II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nordlingen — last 5
LLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Ingolstadt II — last 5
DLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nordlingen (home) | Ingolstadt II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.16
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.55 vs 1.6):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (19%) |
| Double chance — Nordlingen or draw (1X) | 37% |
| Double chance — Ingolstadt II or draw (X2) | 88% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Nordlingen clean sheet | 20% |
| Ingolstadt II clean sheet | 58% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ingolstadt II is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Ingolstadt II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Nordlingen vs Ingolstadt II — FAQ
Who will win Nordlingen vs Ingolstadt II?
Our statistical model makes Ingolstadt II the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Nordlingen 15%, draw 26%, Ingolstadt II 59%.
Will both teams score in Nordlingen vs Ingolstadt II?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Nordlingen vs Ingolstadt II?
Expected goals are 0.55 for Nordlingen and 1.6 for Ingolstadt II — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nordlingen vs Ingolstadt II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (19%). Double chance for Nordlingen or draw is 37%.