Nordmark Satrup vs Oldenburger Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Nordmark Satrup vs Oldenburger
Model pick: Nordmark Satrup (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 20.25 – 2.17
Total goals: 22.4
Over 2.5: 7%
Both teams score: 10%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nordmark Satrup | Oldenburger |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0.5 / 3.5 |
*Nordmark Satrup shown at home, Oldenburger shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nordmark Satrup — last 5
LD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Oldenburger — last 5
LD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nordmark Satrup (home) | Oldenburger (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (20.25 vs 2.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-2 (17%) |
| Double chance — Nordmark Satrup or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Oldenburger or draw (X2) | 1% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Nordmark Satrup clean sheet | 11% |
| Oldenburger clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nordmark Satrup is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Nordmark Satrup are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (93% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nordmark Satrup vs Oldenburger — FAQ
Who will win Nordmark Satrup vs Oldenburger?
Our statistical model makes Nordmark Satrup the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Nordmark Satrup 100%, draw 0%, Oldenburger 0%.
Will both teams score in Nordmark Satrup vs Oldenburger?
The model gives a 10% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Nordmark Satrup vs Oldenburger?
Expected goals are 20.25 for Nordmark Satrup and 2.17 for Oldenburger — about 22.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nordmark Satrup vs Oldenburger?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-2 (17%). Double chance for Nordmark Satrup or draw is 100%.