Nordsjælland vs Randers Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
Nordsjælland vs Randers
Model pick: Nordsjælland (53%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.77 – 1.09
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nordsjælland | Randers |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #11 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*Nordsjælland shown at home, Randers shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nordsjælland — last 5
WLDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 59% of home games go over 2.5.
Randers — last 5
DDWDD
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nordsjælland (home) | Randers (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 56% |
| Top scorer | Prince Amoako (8) | Elies Mahmoud (5) |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.77 vs 1.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Nordsjælland or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Randers or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Nordsjælland clean sheet | 34% |
| Randers clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nordsjælland is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Nordsjælland are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nordsjælland vs Randers — FAQ
Who will win Nordsjælland vs Randers?
Our statistical model makes Nordsjælland the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Nordsjælland 53%, draw 24%, Randers 22%.
Will both teams score in Nordsjælland vs Randers?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Nordsjælland vs Randers?
Expected goals are 1.77 for Nordsjælland and 1.09 for Randers — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nordsjælland vs Randers?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Nordsjælland or draw is 77%.