Normannia Gmund vs Villingen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Normannia Gmund vs Villingen
Model pick: Villingen (67%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.39 – 1.79
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Normannia Gmund | Villingen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.75 / 2.5 | 1.33 / 2.0 |
*Normannia Gmund shown at home, Villingen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Normannia Gmund — last 5
LLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Villingen — last 5
LWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Normannia Gmund (home) | Villingen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.39 vs 1.79):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (20%) |
| Double chance — Normannia Gmund or draw (1X) | 28% |
| Double chance — Villingen or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Normannia Gmund clean sheet | 17% |
| Villingen clean sheet | 68% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Villingen is the model's most likely outcome at
67%. Despite playing away, Villingen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Normannia Gmund vs Villingen — FAQ
Who will win Normannia Gmund vs Villingen?
Our statistical model makes Villingen the most likely result at 67%. Full probabilities: Normannia Gmund 10%, draw 23%, Villingen 67%.
Will both teams score in Normannia Gmund vs Villingen?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Normannia Gmund vs Villingen?
Expected goals are 0.39 for Normannia Gmund and 1.79 for Villingen — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Normannia Gmund vs Villingen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (20%). Double chance for Normannia Gmund or draw is 28%.