Norrby vs Landskrona Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Norrby vs Landskrona
Model pick: Norrby (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.46 – 1.1
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Norrby | Landskrona |
|---|
| League position | #11 (23 pts) | #7 (31 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 30% | 45% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 0.6 |
*Norrby shown at home, Landskrona shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Norrby — last 5
DWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Landskrona — last 5
WDWDD
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Norrby (home) | Landskrona (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-5-2 in 10 (1.6 / 1.4 goals per game) | 5-2-4 in 11 (1.4 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 50% |
| Top scorer | – | Adam Egnell (2) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.46 vs 1.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Norrby or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Landskrona or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Norrby clean sheet | 33% |
| Landskrona clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Norrby is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Norrby are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Norrby vs Landskrona — FAQ
Who will win Norrby vs Landskrona?
Our statistical model makes Norrby the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: Norrby 36%, draw 27%, Landskrona 36%.
Will both teams score in Norrby vs Landskrona?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Norrby vs Landskrona?
Expected goals are 1.46 for Norrby and 1.1 for Landskrona — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Norrby vs Landskrona?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Norrby or draw is 72%.