Norrköping vs Brage Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Norrköping vs Brage
Model pick: Norrköping (68%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.23 – 0.04
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Norrköping | Brage |
|---|
| League position | #1 (35 pts) | #11 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.1 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 62% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.6 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Norrköping shown at home, Brage shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Norrköping — last 5
LDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Brage — last 5
WWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Norrköping (home) | Brage (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-1-2 in 8 (2.1 / 0.6 goals per game) | 3-2-4 in 9 (1.3 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 55% |
| Top scorer | Christoffer Nyman (3) | Felix Horberg (2) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.23 vs 0.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (26%) |
| Double chance — Norrköping or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Brage or draw (X2) | 12% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Norrköping clean sheet | 96% |
| Brage clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Norrköping is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Norrköping are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Norrköping vs Brage — FAQ
Who will win Norrköping vs Brage?
Our statistical model makes Norrköping the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Norrköping 68%, draw 19%, Brage 12%.
Will both teams score in Norrköping vs Brage?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Norrköping vs Brage?
Expected goals are 2.23 for Norrköping and 0.04 for Brage — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Norrköping vs Brage?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (26%). Double chance for Norrköping or draw is 100%.