Norrköping vs Helsingborg Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Norrköping vs Helsingborg
Model pick: Norrköping (69%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.45 – 0.1
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Norrköping | Helsingborg |
|---|
| League position | #2 (29 pts) | #8 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.1 / 0.7 | 1.9 / 2.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 57% | 43% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 1.8 |
*Norrköping shown at home, Helsingborg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Norrköping — last 5
LLLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 59% of home games go over 2.5.
Helsingborg — last 5
LDWLW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Norrköping (home) | Helsingborg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-1-2 in 7 (2.1 / 0.7 goals per game) | 3-1-3 in 7 (1.9 / 2.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 59% |
| Top scorer | Christoffer Nyman (3) | Ervin Gigovic (2) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.45 vs 0.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (23%) |
| Double chance — Norrköping or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Helsingborg or draw (X2) | 11% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 90% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Norrköping clean sheet | 90% |
| Helsingborg clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Norrköping is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Norrköping are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Norrköping vs Helsingborg — FAQ
Who will win Norrköping vs Helsingborg?
Our statistical model makes Norrköping the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Norrköping 69%, draw 19%, Helsingborg 12%.
Will both teams score in Norrköping vs Helsingborg?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Norrköping vs Helsingborg?
Expected goals are 2.45 for Norrköping and 0.1 for Helsingborg — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Norrköping vs Helsingborg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (23%). Double chance for Norrköping or draw is 99%.