Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg
Model pick: Nosaby (99%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 18.17 – 2.19
Total goals: 20.4
Over 2.5: 12%
Both teams score: 16%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nosaby | IFK Trelleborg |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.5 / 2.5 | 2.5 / 1.5 |
*Nosaby shown at home, IFK Trelleborg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nosaby — last 5
LW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
IFK Trelleborg — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nosaby (home) | IFK Trelleborg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.11
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (18.17 vs 2.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-2 (16%) |
| Double chance — Nosaby or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — IFK Trelleborg or draw (X2) | 1% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Nosaby clean sheet | 11% |
| IFK Trelleborg clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nosaby is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. Nosaby are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (88% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg — FAQ
Who will win Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg?
Our statistical model makes Nosaby the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: Nosaby 99%, draw 0%, IFK Trelleborg 0%.
Will both teams score in Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg?
The model gives a 16% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg?
Expected goals are 18.17 for Nosaby and 2.19 for IFK Trelleborg — about 20.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-2 (16%). Double chance for Nosaby or draw is 100%.