Notodden vs Lysekloster Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Norway) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (NORWAY)
Notodden vs Lysekloster
Model pick: Draw (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.47 – 0.14
Total goals: 0.6
Over 2.5: 11%
Both teams score: 21%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Notodden | Lysekloster |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 2.0 |
*Notodden shown at home, Lysekloster shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Notodden — last 5
WWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 23% of the time; 37% of home games go over 2.5.
Lysekloster — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Notodden (home) | Lysekloster (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 23% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 67% |
Division 2 (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.56
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 42%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.47 vs 0.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (54%) |
| Double chance — Notodden or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Lysekloster or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 42% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Notodden clean sheet | 87% |
| Lysekloster clean sheet | 63% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (89% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Notodden vs Lysekloster — FAQ
Who will win Notodden vs Lysekloster?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Notodden 34%, draw 55%, Lysekloster 11%.
Will both teams score in Notodden vs Lysekloster?
The model gives a 21% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Notodden vs Lysekloster?
Expected goals are 0.47 for Notodden and 0.14 for Lysekloster — about 0.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Notodden vs Lysekloster?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (54%). Double chance for Notodden or draw is 92%.