Nottingen vs Bahlinger Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Nottingen vs Bahlinger
Model pick: Nottingen (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.34 – 0.75
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nottingen | Bahlinger |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.5 | 1.0 / 2.4 |
*Nottingen shown at home, Bahlinger shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nottingen — last 5
LWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Bahlinger — last 5
DDDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nottingen (home) | Bahlinger (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.34 vs 0.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Nottingen or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Bahlinger or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Nottingen clean sheet | 47% |
| Bahlinger clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nottingen is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Nottingen are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nottingen vs Bahlinger — FAQ
Who will win Nottingen vs Bahlinger?
Our statistical model makes Nottingen the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Nottingen 48%, draw 29%, Bahlinger 23%.
Will both teams score in Nottingen vs Bahlinger?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Nottingen vs Bahlinger?
Expected goals are 1.34 for Nottingen and 0.75 for Bahlinger — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nottingen vs Bahlinger?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (17%). Double chance for Nottingen or draw is 79%.