Nottingen vs Oberachern Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Nottingen vs Oberachern
Model pick: Nottingen (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.19 – 1.13
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nottingen | Oberachern |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 1.67 | 3.33 / 1.33 |
*Nottingen shown at home, Oberachern shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nottingen — last 5
LWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Oberachern — last 5
WWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nottingen (home) | Oberachern (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.54
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.19 vs 1.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Nottingen or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Oberachern or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Nottingen clean sheet | 32% |
| Oberachern clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nottingen is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Nottingen are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nottingen vs Oberachern — FAQ
Who will win Nottingen vs Oberachern?
Our statistical model makes Nottingen the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Nottingen 37%, draw 29%, Oberachern 34%.
Will both teams score in Nottingen vs Oberachern?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Nottingen vs Oberachern?
Expected goals are 1.19 for Nottingen and 1.13 for Oberachern — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nottingen vs Oberachern?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Nottingen or draw is 66%.